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Trump's desperation
#31
I understand UK-ers being sceptical of the polls, but polling for Brexit was actually pretty accurate, with the result falling in the margin of error(last minute faux exit polls not withstanding).

Secondly, the US tends to manage quite well polling-wise compared to the UK(No 2015's or 1992's), though there are quite a lot more undecideds and third party voters this election, which does make things slightly less predictable.

It looks like Trump will have somewhere between a 20% to 30% chance of winning by the time election day rolls around(according to fivethirtyeight.com); which is still too high for my liking.

I've been keeping track of the election and been making my own predictions.
If anyone's curious, my prediction currently looks like this:
[Image: pyLdz.png]
http://www.270towin.com/maps/pyLdz
It's never really looked like Pennsylvania or New Hampshire have ever seriously considered voting for Trump, and while Colorado slowly drifted to being neck and neck just before the first debate, it hasn't looked competitive since. So while it's pretty clear I don't think Trump has much of a chance of winning, I couldn't possibly rule him out. Though unlikely, mass polling errors and/or unprecedented turnout of uneducated white voters combined with low Democratic turnout could push Trump over the line.

So it cannot be over emphasised how important it is to go out and vote, regardless of how you intend to vote. Also, it's not just the presidential election which is taking place on November 8th:

Silly Sarcastic So-and-so
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Messages In This Thread
Trump's desperation - by LONDONER - 10-16-2016, 10:16 AM
Trump's desperation - by LJay - 10-16-2016, 01:34 PM
Trump's desperation - by Gemini - 10-16-2016, 08:25 PM
Trump's desperation - by TigerLover - 10-16-2016, 08:38 PM
Trump's desperation - by LONDONER - 10-16-2016, 09:49 PM
Trump's desperation - by meridannight - 10-16-2016, 10:09 PM
Trump's desperation - by bootom24 - 10-17-2016, 12:52 AM
Trump's desperation - by NativeSon - 10-17-2016, 02:21 AM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-17-2016, 03:19 AM
Trump's desperation - by artyboy - 10-17-2016, 03:23 AM
Trump's desperation - by Pix - 10-17-2016, 03:37 AM
Trump's desperation - by NativeSon - 10-17-2016, 04:23 AM
Trump's desperation - by Pix - 10-17-2016, 07:07 AM
Trump's desperation - by NativeSon - 10-17-2016, 08:29 AM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-18-2016, 03:03 PM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-18-2016, 07:24 PM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-18-2016, 08:02 PM
Trump's desperation - by knickerbuck - 10-18-2016, 08:13 PM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-18-2016, 09:50 PM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-18-2016, 09:53 PM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-19-2016, 12:12 AM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-24-2016, 02:45 AM
Trump's desperation - by newavir - 10-24-2016, 07:45 PM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-25-2016, 01:47 PM
Trump's desperation - by East - 10-25-2016, 02:05 PM
Trump's desperation - by East - 10-25-2016, 02:55 PM
Trump's desperation - by JohnMusic - 10-25-2016, 03:13 PM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-26-2016, 11:55 AM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-27-2016, 01:11 PM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-27-2016, 03:18 PM
Trump's desperation - by Genersis - 10-27-2016, 11:45 PM
Trump's desperation - by InbetweenDreams - 10-28-2016, 02:28 AM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-28-2016, 02:31 AM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-28-2016, 02:36 AM
Trump's desperation - by Emiliano - 10-28-2016, 03:56 AM

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