(06-07-2020, 08:20 PM)InbetweenDreams Wrote: @Genersis Why do you think Trump will win? What I have seen here locally last week in a very right-wing area suggests that Trump probably won't win. Yes, Trump has his base particularly in rural areas but I don't think he'll be re-elected.
Do you mean you've seen right-wingers disavowing Trump, or right-wingers pessimistic about winning again in 2020? Because if it's the latter, they almost certainly will win again. In 2016, Clinton was expected to win in a landslide. The idiotic HuffingtonPost, a supposedly left-wing news source, gave Hillary a "98.2% chance of winning the presidency" -Â
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/polls-hil...0b02cc2a94
Whoops.
All the Trumpsters I know were all very pessimistic and hopeless about their god-emperor winning 2016. Then they won.
I live in a predominately left-wing area. If I were to split my area up into groups, I would say you have the disenfranchised working class who thankfully haven't been brainwashed (yet) into worshiping the sacred "job creators" - and the upper class chardonnay democrats who pretend to be for the poor and working class, but really spit on them. Mixed in, you have the acolytes of Trump, flying their Trump flags (why oh why they have to have a flag, I have no idea). From both groups, they have their own who say "There's no way Trump is going to win again."
We all said Trump would never run for president, and then he ran. We all said Trump would never win the spotlight in the GOP debate, and he won (and next to Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz that's not a hard thing to accomplish). We all said he'd never win a primary state, and he started winning them. We all said he'd never win the primary, and he won it. We all said he'd never win the general election, and yet, he won it. Now we're all saying he won't win reelection, and history will soon repeat itself.
The only hope I've seen in Trump supporters disavowing Trump is them being disgruntled in how he handles the coronavirus - not that he hasn't done enough, oh no, that he's done too much. Yep, for some Trumpers, their denial of the coronavirus outweighs their support of Trump.
The economy is currently tanking from the coronavirus, but it was doomed to tank from the start. Trump inherited a booming economy from Obama (and by boom, I only mean a boom for the rich. When the economy booms only the rich prosper, and when the economy tanks, the poor get taken down before the rich do, funny how that works). During a boom, the government is supposed to either limit spending or increase taxation. The Republicans, being Republicans, of course wanted to limit spending, because cutting food stamps and letting poor Americans starve to death in the streets is better than a 2% increase in taxes for the rich, in their minds. Well I'm getting ahead of myself, I don't realy know what I'm talkign about. The point is, the economy booms and tanks, booms and tanks, in cycles. Well, Trump can now blame the tanking on the coronavirus, a natural phenomenon. It could have been limited more by a better president, yes, but Trump has an excuse now for the failing economy.
The only reason I'll be voting for Biden is because I just have that pessimism that Trump will win again, and I live to say "Don't blame me, I voted for . . . "
Add to that is the fact that Biden doesn't energize young voters. I don't know if I'm still considered young, but he certainly doesn't energize me. I honestly just don't see any hope in politics at this point. In our political system, our only option is the Dem or Rep. Republicans at least cater to their own base, even though it's against their self interest. If a poor conservative worships the rich as these magical "job creators" then at least the Republicans are continuing to give away slush funds for the rich. But the Democrats are supposed to be for the working person, and I just don't see them as that anymore. People on the left clamor for healthcare, student debt relief, affordable college, affordable housing, a green economy, but instead Dems like Nancy Pelosi give us some bizarre, convoluted, means-tested bread crumbs that give you a million hoops you have to jump through.
I mean, during the primary, I (briefly) fell in love with Kamala for telling off Biden - that was epic. Then I read her student loan forgiveness plan - you had to be at a certain income level and open some sort of business in a poor neighborhood for oh so many years - um question Kamala, how the heck are we supposed to make a business last in a low-income neighborhood? How about pumping money into that neighborhood? It just reeked of "job creator"
Well, there goes my second rant for the day. My goodness. I need to log off.